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Thread: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama ...

  1. Default Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    Kentucky beats #10 Georgia again. How beneficial are those two wins for us?
    I meant to add ... Kentucky tossed a no-hitter at the Dawgs.

    Brian

  2. UL Softball Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Brian I am wondering? LSU loses their series to Tennesee. Is there an advantage to UL if they get a win, or get swept. Tennessee looks to have a favorable schedule ahead and will pass us in the RPI. Is there any case where they don't?


  3. UL Softball Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunEXPRESS View Post
    Brian I am wondering? LSU loses their series to Tennesee. Is there an advantage to UL if they get a win, or get swept. Tennessee looks to have a favorable schedule ahead and will pass us in the RPI. Is there any case where they don't?
    Swept.

    Tennessee has already passed us in the RPI. And even though they do not have a RPI favorable schedule down the stretch (they have played all of their tough SEC games after today, sans the SEC Tournament), I do not see the Cajuns having a chance at catching Tennessee short of a substantial collapse. Note that Tennessee is already 3-0 this week with three solid RPI bonus wins ... over a good Radford team in addition to the two over LSU.

    I pull for the teams ahead of the Cajuns that the Cajuns will not be able to catch. We want to minimize the number of teams that will use their conference schedule advantage in catching the Cajuns in the RPI.

    The Cajuns have received substantial help from their opponents this week in boosting their OWP. This is despite Cajun opponents having played some difficult opponents. If you factor out all of the Cajuns' games this week, the Cajuns' OWP has risen from .5687 to .5752! When you add in the FIU series, the OWP drops to .5724. Finally, adding three Middle Tennessee games drops the Cajuns' OWP to .5559! If not for the play of our opponents this week, that is nearly an entire .0100 drop in RPI.

    I am expecting the Cajuns to get a bump in OOWP this week. But unless it is much more than I think it is ... just eyeballing it (and do not hold me to it), it looks like Tennessee and Oklahoma will certainly pass the Cajuns this week. Oregon has an excellent chance to pass the Cajuns this week, but have two games remaining vs. Utah. They are 2-1 this week (split with Washington and single win over Utah). There is also a decent chance that Arizona passes the Cajuns this week, though this could come down to their performance against Cal today. Arizona swept Utah in three games and has split with Cal.

    Hawaii probably does not catch the Cajuns this week. Washington continues to lose, but their OWP is getting a boost. They split with Oregon and are 0-2 vs. UCLA this weekend. Their RPI could increase (depending on what happens today) ... but they probably do not catch the Cajuns yet. Louisville will probably be close, but may fall just a bit short.

    On the bright side, Missouri, Florida State, Georgia, and Texas A&M losing this week has helped the Cajuns (ranked 14 -> 17).

    I would guess at this hour, the Cajuns come in around #10 this week, with the possibility of being #9 or #11.

    Brian

  4. Default Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Important games involving Cajun opponents (in bold) ...

    Tulsa 7 @Marshall 1 Final (Tulsa wins series 2-1)
    Troy 5 @Florida Atlantic 1 Final (Troy win series 2-1)
    Florida International 9 @Western Kentucky 6 Final (FIU wins series 2-1)
    Southern Miss 0 @South Alabama 6 Final (South Alabama wins series 2-0)
    North Texas 4 @ULM 1 Final (ULM wins series 2-1)
    Georgia Tech 5 @Florida State 4 Final (Georgia Tech leads series 1-0)
    Georgia Tech 6 @Florida State 7 Final (Series tied 1-1)
    Georgia 4 @Kentucky 3 Final (Kentucky wins series 2-1)
    Indiana 4 @Penn State 9 Final (Penn State wins series 2-1)
    UTEP 2 @Memphis 7 Final (Memphis wins series 3-0)
    East Carolina 7 @Houston 6 Final (Houston wins series 2-1)
    Michigan State 0 @Michigan 2 Final (Michigan leads series 2-0)
    Michigan State 0 @Michigan 5 Final (Michigan wins series 3-0)
    Villanova 1 @Rutgers 9 Final (Rutgers wins series 2-1)
    George Mason 0 @Hofstra 8 (Final - 5 inning Mercy Rule) (Hofstra wins series 3-0)
    Boston 4 @Albany 6 Final (Boston wins series 2-1)
    Mississippi State 10 @Mississippi 3 Final (Mississippi State wins series 3-0)
    Minnesota 6 @Northwestern 3 Final (Minnesota wins series 2-1)
    Fresno State 1 @San Jose State 0 Final (Fresno State leads series 1-0)
    Fresno State 1 @San Jose State 2 Final (Series tied 1-1)
    Gardner-Webb 3 @Winthrop 2 Final (Gardner Webb wins series 2-1)

    Brian


  5. Default Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Important games involving Cajun opponents (in bold) ...

    Tulsa 7 @Marshall 1 Final (Tulsa wins series 2-1)
    Troy 5 @Florida Atlantic 1 Final (Troy win series 2-1)
    Florida International 9 @Western Kentucky 6 Final (FIU wins series 2-1)
    Southern Miss 0 @South Alabama 6 Final (South Alabama wins series 2-0)
    North Texas 4 @ULM 1 Final (ULM wins series 2-1)
    Georgia Tech 5 @Florida State 4 Final (Georgia Tech leads series 1-0)
    Georgia Tech 6 @Florida State 7 Final (Series tied 1-1)
    Georgia 4 @Kentucky 3 Final (Kentucky wins series 2-1)
    Indiana 4 @Penn State 9 Final (Penn State wins series 2-1)
    UTEP 2 @Memphis 7 Final (Memphis wins series 3-0)
    East Carolina 7 @Houston 6 Final (Houston wins series 2-1)
    Michigan State 0 @Michigan 2 Final (Michigan leads series 2-0)
    Michigan State 0 @Michigan 5 Final (Michigan wins series 3-0)
    Villanova 1 @Rutgers 9 Final (Rutgers wins series 2-1)
    George Mason 0 @Hofstra 8 (Final - 5 inning Mercy Rule) (Hofstra wins series 3-0)
    Boston 4 @Albany 6 Final (Boston wins series 2-1)
    Mississippi State 10 @Mississippi 3 Final (Mississippi State wins series 3-0)
    Minnesota 6 @Northwestern 3 Final (Minnesota wins series 2-1)
    Fresno State 1 @San Jose State 0 Final (Fresno State leads series 1-0)
    Fresno State 1 @San Jose State 2 Final (Series tied 1-1)
    Gardner-Webb 3 @Winthrop 2 Final (Gardner Webb wins series 2-1)
    All games are finals above ... and also ...

    Tennessee defeats LSU today 10-2 for the three game sweep.

    Brian

  6. Default Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    The Cajuns have received substantial help from their opponents this week in boosting their OWP. This is despite Cajun opponents having played some difficult opponents. If you factor out all of the Cajuns' games this week, the Cajuns' OWP has risen from .5687 to .5752! When you add in the FIU series, the OWP drops to .5724. Finally, adding three Middle Tennessee games drops the Cajuns' OWP to .5559! If not for the play of our opponents this week, that is nearly an entire .0100 drop in RPI.
    Cajun opponents take the Cajuns' OWP from .5559 today (after the Middle Tennessee game) to .5579 ... to close the week.

    Brian

  7. Default Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Swept.

    Tennessee has already passed us in the RPI. And even though they do not have a RPI favorable schedule down the stretch (they have played all of their tough SEC games after today, sans the SEC Tournament), I do not see the Cajuns having a chance at catching Tennessee short of a substantial collapse. Note that Tennessee is already 3-0 this week with three solid RPI bonus wins ... over a good Radford team in addition to the two over LSU.

    I pull for the teams ahead of the Cajuns that the Cajuns will not be able to catch. We want to minimize the number of teams that will use their conference schedule advantage in catching the Cajuns in the RPI.

    The Cajuns have received substantial help from their opponents this week in boosting their OWP. This is despite Cajun opponents having played some difficult opponents. If you factor out all of the Cajuns' games this week, the Cajuns' OWP has risen from .5687 to .5752! When you add in the FIU series, the OWP drops to .5724. Finally, adding three Middle Tennessee games drops the Cajuns' OWP to .5559! If not for the play of our opponents this week, that is nearly an entire .0100 drop in RPI.

    I am expecting the Cajuns to get a bump in OOWP this week. But unless it is much more than I think it is ... just eyeballing it (and do not hold me to it), it looks like Tennessee and Oklahoma will certainly pass the Cajuns this week. Oregon has an excellent chance to pass the Cajuns this week, but have two games remaining vs. Utah. They are 2-1 this week (split with Washington and single win over Utah). There is also a decent chance that Arizona passes the Cajuns this week, though this could come down to their performance against Cal today. Arizona swept Utah in three games and has split with Cal.

    Hawaii probably does not catch the Cajuns this week. Washington continues to lose, but their OWP is getting a boost. They split with Oregon and are 0-2 vs. UCLA this weekend. Their RPI could increase (depending on what happens today) ... but they probably do not catch the Cajuns yet. Louisville will probably be close, but may fall just a bit short.

    On the bright side, Missouri, Florida State, Georgia, and Texas A&M losing this week has helped the Cajuns (ranked 14 -> 17).

    I would guess at this hour, the Cajuns come in around #10 this week, with the possibility of being #9 or #11.

    Brian
    The Cajuns just hold off Arizona to come in at the #9 spot this week. The Cajuns have an Adjusted RPI of .6721, just .0042 ahead of Arizona. As expected, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Oregon passed the Cajuns.

    Brian

  8. #20

    Default Re: Nice bounceback win by South Alabama tonight ...

    GoneGolfin, You are so impressive!!! Thanks for sharing your 'gifts'.


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