Sun Belt Conference softball tournament

We are down to the final week of regular season play.

Standings:
1. ULM 14-7
2. Texas State 13-8
3. Coastal Carolina 12-9
Georgia Southern 12-9
Marshall 12-9
6. Appalachian State 11-10
Louisiana 11-10
8. Southern Mississippi 10-10
9. Troy 10-11
10. James Madison 9-12
11. South Alabama 8-12
12. Georgia State 3-18

The two bottom teams are left out of the conference tournament. Georgia State is the only team eliminated so far.

Schedule:
Texas State at ULM
Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State
Georgia Southern at James Madison
Georgia State at Marshall
Southern Mississippi at Louisiana
South Alabama at Troy

The top 5 teams are all eligible for the #1 seed. ULM gets it with two wins, Texas State gets it with a sweep. The 12-9 teams must sweep to be in the picture.
Troy, James Madison and South Alabama are the only other teams that can be eliminated from the conference tournament.

The regular season ends on Saturday and the conference tournament starts the following Wednesday.

Thank you for your synopsis of the situation.

A UL series win over USM guarantees that we finish ahead of USM, USA, JMU and GaSt.
Any combination of UL wins and Troy losses equaling 3 or more puts us ahead of Troy.
Any combination of UL wins and losses by App which equals 4 or more puts us ahead of App.
The magic number vs TxSt, GaSo, CCU and Marshall is 5.
The magic number vs ULM is 6.

It is impossible for UL to pass both ULM and TxSt, therefore we are eliminated from the # 1 seed.
Though we are not mathematically eliminated from the # 2 seed, to reach that would require a UL win + opponent loss of 4 or more against App, and 5 or more against ALL of TxSt, CCU, GaSo and Marshall.

If we sweep USM and ULM wins 2 vs TxSt, and App wins 2 vs CCU and JMU wins 2 vs GaSo, we would be the # 3 seed behind ULM and Marshall.

The likelihood of all this happening is virtually zero, I think we will end up as either 5 or 6, with an outside chance at 4.

What needs to happen for UL to get the optimum seeding:

TxSt at ULM: a sweep either way or a ULM series win.
CCU at App: an App series win, preferably not a sweep.
GaSo at JMU: a JMU series win, preferably a Dukes Sweep.
GaSt at MU: a miracle. [GaSt series win]
USM at UL: a series win, preferably a Cajuns sweep
USA at Troy: anything but a Troy Sweep.

Geaux Cajuns

Quote:

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Originally Posted by VObserver

A UL series win over USM guarantees that we finish ahead of USM, USA, JMU and GaSt.
Any combination of UL wins and Troy losses equaling 3 or more puts us ahead of Troy.
Any combination of UL wins and losses by App which equals 4 or more puts us ahead of App.
The magic number vs TxSt, GaSo, CCU and Marshall is 5.
The magic number vs ULM is 6.

It is impossible for UL to pass both ULM and TxSt, therefore we are eliminated from the # 1 seed.
Though we are not mathematically eliminated from the # 2 seed, to reach that would require a UL win + opponent loss of 4 or more against App, and 5 or more against ALL of TxSt, CCU, GaSo and Marshall.

If we sweep USM and ULM wins 2 vs TxSt, and App wins 2 vs CCU and JMU wins 2 vs GaSo, we would be the # 3 seed behind ULM and Marshall.

The likelihood of all this happening is virtually zero, I think we will end up as either 5 or 6, with an outside chance at 4.

What needs to happen for UL to get the optimum seeding:

TxSt at ULM: a sweep either way or a ULM series win.
CCU at App: an App series win, preferably not a sweep.
GaSo at JMU: a JMU series win, preferably a Dukes Sweep.
GaSt at MU: a miracle. [GaSt series win]
USM at UL: a series win, preferably a Cajuns sweep
USA at Troy: anything but a Troy Sweep.

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This team has responded well to address the tournament seeding which is our only way to get in the big dance. Geaux Cajuns!

Additional information:

ULM, Texas State, Coastal Carolina, Marshall and Louisiana are the only teams that have not been swept in any series this season, which means they have at least one win over every team they have played thus far. With the conference tournament a complete single elimination format, these are the most likely teams to win the tournament.

Teams with series sweeps:
ULM - 3 (Georgia Southern, Troy, Georgia State)
Texas State - 3 (Appalachian State, Southern Mississippi, South Alabama)
Appalachian State - 2 (James Madison, Georgia State)
Coastal Carolina - 1 (Georgia State)
Georgia Southern - 1 (Georgia State)
Marshall - 1 (James Madison)
Louisiana - 1 (South Alabama)
Southern Mississippi - 1 (South Alabama)
James Madison - 1 (Georgia State)
South Alabama - 1 (James Madison)
Troy - 0
Georgia State - 0

It appears right now that the Sun Belt is unlikely to get an at large bid to the NCAA tournament. Coastal Carolina is the highest ranked team at the moment (#42), but with games upcoming against Appalachian State (21-25), their ranking is likely to fall further, no matter if they sweep. Texas State and Louisiana are well out of at large range (#57 and #58 respectively), so it's looking like a one bid league this year.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by VObserver

A UL series win over USM guarantees that we finish ahead of USM, USA, JMU and GaSt.
Any combination of UL wins and Troy losses equaling 3 or more puts us ahead of Troy.
Any combination of UL wins and losses by App which equals 4 or more puts us ahead of App.
The magic number vs TxSt, GaSo, CCU and Marshall is 5.
The magic number vs ULM is 6.

It is impossible for UL to pass both ULM and TxSt, therefore we are eliminated from the # 1 seed.
Though we are not mathematically eliminated from the # 2 seed, to reach that would require a UL win + opponent loss of 4 or more against App, and 5 or more against ALL of TxSt, CCU, GaSo and Marshall.

If we sweep USM and ULM wins 2 vs TxSt, and App wins 2 vs CCU and JMU wins 2 vs GaSo, we would be the # 3 seed behind ULM and Marshall.

The likelihood of all this happening is virtually zero, I think we will end up as either 5 or 6, with an outside chance at 4.

What needs to happen for UL to get the optimum seeding:

TxSt at ULM: a sweep either way or a ULM series win.
CCU at App: an App series win, preferably not a sweep.
GaSo at JMU: a JMU series win, preferably a Dukes Sweep.
GaSt at MU: a miracle. [GaSt series win]
USM at UL: a series win, preferably a Cajuns sweep
USA at Troy: anything but a Troy Sweep.

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Who would win a tiebreaker between Louisiana & App. State if we end up tied, since we don't play them?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by lcitsh

Additional information:

ULM, Texas State, Coastal Carolina, Marshall and Louisiana are the only teams that have not been swept in any series this season, which means they have at least one win over every team they have played thus far. With the conference tournament a complete single elimination format, these are the most likely teams to win the tournament.

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Great stat

Quote:

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Originally Posted by ragin50

Who would win a tiebreaker between Louisiana & App. State if we end up tied, since we don't play them?

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Cajuns have the tiebreak because of the wins over Texas State. Texas State swept Appalachian State.

Why wouldn’t Texas State get the #1 seed if they win 2 of 3? Both teams would be 15-9 with Texas State having the head-to-head advantage.

I guess they would need help from the teams tied for third 🤔

TxSt would get the # 1 in that scenario provided neither Marshall nor CCU sweeps their games this weekend. If either sweeps then there would be a 3 way tie in which case both Marshall and CCU hold series wins over TxSt and neither played ULM.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by VObserver

TxSt would get the # 1 in that scenario provided neither Marshall nor CCU sweeps their games this weekend. If either sweeps then there would be a 3 way tie in which case both Marshall and CCU hold series wins over TxSt and neither played ULM.

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Thank you.

Texas State 5 at ULM 3
Coastal Carolina 5 at Appalachian State 6 (8)
Georgia Southern 2 at James Madison 4
Georgia State 2 at Marshall 6 (delayed in the 5th)
Southern Mississippi 0 at Louisiana 2
South Alabama 6 at Troy 7

It only took one day to eliminate two of the three 12-9 teams from the race for the #1 seed. Coastal falls to Appalachian in 8, 6-5, and Georgia Southern loses to James Madison, 4-2. Marshall is leading Georgia State, 6-2, in the 5th inning. That game will be concluded at 1:00 tomorrow.

The Marshall-Georgia State series is scheduled to conclude on Friday because of severe weather they are expecting on Saturday. If Marshall ties with ULM and Texas State, they will win the tiebreak with a 2-1 record against their tied opponents and be the #1 seed. This makes it necessary for Texas State to sweep ULM to be the #1 seed.

Texas State scores 5 runs in the top of the 7th to defeat ULM, 5-3.

The battle for the last team in the bracket is between James Madison and South Alabama. Southern Mississippi (9th place) is two games up on South Alabama (11th place) with two games left but beat USA both games they played. James Madison clinches with a win or USA loss.

Standings
Texas State 14-8
ULM 14-8
Marshall 12-9
Appalachian State 12-10
Coastal Carolina 12-10
Georgia Southern 12-10
Louisiana 12-10
Troy 11-11
Southern Mississippi 10-11
James Madison 10-12
South Alabama 8-13
Georgia State 3-18

Appreciate the scores from around the league. Saved from going to the SBC website.

Question: How can I get some tickets to the Bats n Bugs crawfish boil after Saturday's game? I found out we can attend and would like to!

Any help is most appreciated. :)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by moorecajun

Question: How can I get some tickets to the Bats n Bugs crawfish boil after Saturday's game? I found out we can attend and would like to!

Any help is most appreciated. :)

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https://ragincajuns.evenue.net/www/e...ulrc-athletics

Quote:

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Originally Posted by lcitsh

https://ragincajuns.evenue.net/www/e...ulrc-athletics

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THANKS! Tickets are purchased. :)

New RPI as of Games of May 1

43 Coastal Carolina
54 Texas St.
56 Louisiana
74 Marshall
92 ULM
97 Ga. Southern
98 Troy
103 Southern Miss.
115 James Madison
133 App State
168 South Alabama
231 Georgia St.

"Bugs"

cULture destroying Yankee influence.

jmo

I still consider myself a Yankee even though I’ve now lived in Louisiana for more than half my life, but even I would have gone with something like “Cleats and Crawfish”.

Mom was from north of the Mason Dixon but mudbugs was not in her vocabulary

Coastal Carolina 7 at Appalachian State 8 (8)
Georgia Southern 2 at James Madison 7
Georgia State 3 at Marshall 11 (conclusion of game 1)
Georgia State 2 at Marshall 10 (5)
Georgia State 0 at Marshall 14 (5)
Southern Mississippi 0 at Louisiana 1
South Alabama 12 at Troy 3
South Alabama 2 at Troy 12 (5)

Severe weather has pushed Texas State and ULM to a doubleheader tomorrow.
Marshall has concluded their Georgia State series with a 15-9 record. They win all the tiebreaks for the #1 seed.
South Alabama was eliminated from the conference tournament with the James Madison win.

Standings
Texas State 14-8
ULM 14-8
Marshall 15-9
Louisiana 13-10
Appalachian State 13-10
Coastal Carolina 12-11
Georgia Southern 12-11
Troy 12-12
James Madison 11-12
Southern Mississippi 10-12
South Alabama 9-14
Georgia State 3-21

Looks as if we are in the same boat as everyone else. You have to win the tournament to get in. 1 bid league. No one's RPI is high enough for an at large at this point.

Win today, carry the momentum into the tournament and win 3.
It can be done the way this team has been playing as of late.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by lcitsh

Coastal Carolina 7 at Appalachian State 8 (8)
Georgia Southern 2 at James Madison 7
Georgia State 3 at Marshall 11 (conclusion of game 1)
Georgia State 2 at Marshall 10 (5)
Georgia State 0 at Marshall 14 (5)
Southern Mississippi 0 at Louisiana 1
South Alabama 12 at Troy 3
South Alabama 2 at Troy 12 (5)

Severe weather has pushed Texas State and ULM to a doubleheader tomorrow.
Marshall has concluded their Georgia State series with a 15-9 record. They win all the tiebreaks for the #1 seed.
South Alabama was eliminated from the conference tournament with the James Madison win.

Standings
Texas State 14-8
ULM 14-8
Marshall 15-9
Louisiana 13-10
Appalachian State 13-10
Coastal Carolina 12-11
Georgia Southern 12-11
Troy 12-12
James Madison 11-12
Southern Mississippi 10-12
South Alabama 9-14
Georgia State 3-21

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If we win today and either ULM or Texas State sweeps, would we be the #3 seed since we have the tiebreaker over either one of them?

Gonna be a lot of seed movement today. If UL can win, will move way up. Looks like if lose, would be helpful for App St to beat Coastal.

I’m sure there would be other scenarios to pull for, but would rather focus on Cajuns getting the sweep!