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AP Poll Ranking for Bowl Matchups:
1 Bama vs Cincy 12/31
2 Mich vs GA 12/31
3 GA vs Mich 12/31
4 Cincy vs Bama 12/31
5 ND vs Ok. St. 1/1
6 Baylor vs Ole Miss 1/1
7 OSU vs. Utah 1/1
8 Ole Miss vs Baylor 1/1
9 Ok St. vs ND 1/1
10 Utah vs. OSU 1/1
11 MSU vs. Pitt 12/30
12 BYU LOST to (9-4) UAB
13 Pitt vs. MSU 12/30
14 OU vs ORE 12/29
15 ORE vs. OU 12/29
16 LOUISIANA wins over Marshall
17 IOWA vs. UK 1/1
As you can see gents, the loss at BYU will move us. I believe our course from here is for OSU/ND/Baylor/MSU/OU to win. This opens spots 8-10 up and shifts MSU/OU and Louisiana into the last 3 slots. I don't think a loss by OSU/Baylor/MSU or OU will knock them back far enough for us to move up. JMOQuote:
Originally Posted by Grantvb
14 v 15 game and 11 v 13 game gives us 2 more opportunities, along with the BYU loss.
Agree with long shot 5 v 9, 6 v 8, 7 v 10.
There’s a good chance we move up, but the cabal will only allow us to move only so far. Covid Carolina hit a point they were going no further, then they lost.
Think 12th will be the maximum we’re allowed. And of course, what P5s will jump us?
I’ll take it.
There are only 4 scenarios better than this season for us…undefeated but no NY6, undefeated and make NY6, undefeated and make the CFP, and of course, what is seen as impossible to the world. Cincinnati has a chance at what the world sees as impossible.
Some trolls from the mutts and wanna be FBS programs may laugh, but we’re in the same boat. Unless your program is content in “knowing your place”, our goals are the same. Crash the party.
Z2....I think if the favorite schools win by a big enough margin, we should move 5 spots....but Iowa needs to go down like a dog...
Line for each of the 6 games in question:
OU -4.5
MSU -2.5
ND -2.0
UK -3.0 (plays #17 Iowa)
OSU -6.5
Baylor -0.0
Please don't ban me. I have a method to the path that the Cajuns get trod to get to #10 in the AP Polls.
First, a few truths.
- Only 1 of the top 4 teams will finish with a win.
- The Cajuns have done everything they can.
Now the assumptions:
- Regardless of who wins the NC, none of the top 4 teams will be displaced out of the Top 10.
- Assume that every team in the top 15 team will beat the lower ranked team in their bowl game.
Now the theory/rationale:
As previously mentioned, MICH/ALA/CINC/GEOG will all stay in the top 10 no matter what happens. Their records and body of work are too solid to drop them completely. So figure 4 slots to them.
ND beats Ok St and goes 12-1. Baylor beats Ole Miss and goes 12-2. Ohio St. beats Utah and goes 11-2. All of these stay in the top 10 so figure 3 slots to them.
Mich St. beats Pitt and finished 11-2 and stays in the top 10 so figure 1 slot to them.
At this point we have slots 1-8 (don't be concerned with how the top 4 losers fall - they're staying in the top 10 anyway.).
Now let's look at the losers in the Top 10:
- Ole Miss at #8 loses to Baylor and finishes 10-3. Bear in mind, they didn't even play in the conference championship. Are you gonna only drop them 1 spot to #9? Or to #10 (I'll show you Oklahoma shortly). They will drop out of the top 10 with 3 losses and no conference championship appearance.
- Ok St. at #9 loses to N.D. They finish 11-3 now have lost (2) in a row. You plan on only bumping back 1 spot to #10? Not a chance, they're out.
Already mentioned MSU wins and moves up to #8. So now there are two spots.
- Utah at #11 loses to OSU and finishes 10-4. You can't reward someone who LOSES a bowl game with a move up. They are moving back.
- Pitt at #12 loses to MSU and finished 11-3. See the above comment on Utah about no reward for loss.
- BYU at #13 lost to an unranked team. Bye Felicia.
- #14 Oklahoma beats #15 Oregon and finished 11-2, moving up in front of conference champs, Pitt and utah (since they both lost), OK st (lost 2 in row) and Ole Miss (lost bowl w/ no CCG). They get into the top 10 (likely #9).
- Oregon at #15 loses to OU and finished 10-4 to move behind the Cajuns.
- Iowa at #17 loses to UK and finished 10-4 after losing two in row (Bowl and CCG). So they won't catch the Cajuns.
Now with 1 spot remaining in the top 10, you have:
10-3 Ole Miss (No CCG and Bowl loss)
11-3 Ok St (lost 2 in a row)
10-4 Utah (Bowl Loss moving backwards)
11-3 Pitt (Bowl Loss moving backwards)
10-3 BYU (lost to unranked team)
10-4 ORE (losers of last two)
10-4 Iowa (loser of last two)
13-1 Louisiana (Conference Champion and winner of last 13). Who's you best pick?
If you move any team back, you have to move a team behind them up. We already agreed that no losing team can be rewarded with a move forward. So how do you rationalize moving any of the losing teams up to fill the void by other losing teams? How do you move any 3 or four-loss teams ahead of a 13-1 team that is a conference champ?
You don't. (mic drop)
Bumping since the first two dominoes fell.
bump
Thanks Turbine
Purely amazing! I’m a believer!Quote:
Originally Posted by Grantvb
Lots of good bets in this scenario . . .Quote:
Originally Posted by Grantvb
That is one handsome SOB!!Quote:
Originally Posted by CajunFun