.....So with the huge rain forecast and Barry....what happens now?Quote:
Originally Posted by NewsCopy
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.....So with the huge rain forecast and Barry....what happens now?Quote:
Originally Posted by NewsCopy
Am I the only one who initially read this as “midgets” were swarming and thought WTF??Quote:
Originally Posted by NewsCopy
NOQuote:
Originally Posted by Cajunrunner
Just heard they expect the river to reach 20 feet at the Carrollton gage. The top of the levee is 20'. But, it should only last about 1 day. They are expecting a 4' "river surge"; something the weather man had never said before!. The river was at 16 feet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Boomer
I'm hearing they're much more worried about local rain flooding than levee topping. Don't know how wise the pump to the river decision fares when the river is on the verge of topping the levee.
Thanks for posting.Quote:
Originally Posted by HelmutVII
My thoughts & prayers go out for everyone potentially in harm's way during another weather event in our state. But having said that the greatest blessing of all this freezing cold river & spillway water coming from up north is it keeps things like Hurricanes from forming & confounding the experts on the weather channel. With the massive amounts of cold river & spillway water coming out of Louisiana right now. It is a wild card keeping the circulation center from closing on the storm which can't form. Now if some kind of weather pattern would just pick that thing up & get it out of here, we wouldn't have to be so concerned right now.Quote:
Originally Posted by IberiaCajun
Yeah it isn't really helping much. Very high SST's in the Gulf for this time of year.Quote:
Originally Posted by Bandwagon King
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/c...gulfmex.cf.gif
Those " might" be the surface temperatures, but you don't have to dig deep to find a butt load of cold water below. it wasn't very long ago a whole bunch of water feeding the whole Louisiana gulf coast was icebergs in Nebraska, Minnesota, & places even further north. And water is one of the worst conductors of heat. And we haven't had very many days this year so far where temperatures have risen above 90 degrees. So please forgive me for not jumping on that bandwagon. But I have serious doubts about those temperatures feeding this storm. if the salinity levels of the Mississippi tributaries can be affected so greatly, then the temperature levels should be affected to an even greater extent as water is an excellent carrier of sodium., heat not so much.Quote:
Originally Posted by Cajun90
Something sure is raining on the weather channel's drama parade. My guess is the icy waters of the spillways & the rivers at the tip of the toe.
OHC.... Oceanic heat content. See below link for that. Hard to measure near shore but the GOM in general is above average for this time of year.Quote:
Originally Posted by Bandwagon King
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html
As for the Weather Channel....they got a product to sale.
NHC forecast has been very good so far. Trust those guys or check out Tropicaltidbits.com. That site is run by Levi Cowan who is a Phd candidate at FSU. Kid has been studying atmospheric science since he could walk and is extremely good at what he does. Hasn't even finished school and veteran forecasters look to him all the time for analysis.
....Whichever one it is actually (nino or Nina) I read/saw somewhere that because of their presence we have less hurricanes but they intensify much more quickly......mentioned the one in Florida that went from zip to cat 5 in 3 days......hope Barry’s numbers don’t kick up in this kind of Speed!Quote:
Originally Posted by Cajun90
Tropical tidbits is good. I get there by going to https://spaghettimodels.com/Quote:
Originally Posted by Cajun90
On another note people are going nuts. I would hate to see what would happen if a bad storm was on the way. It's like we are turning into a bunch of snowflakes. I saw People buying water. Water of all things. If they want water go to your kitchen and draw water from your faucet. Store it in containers you have at your house. Worst case draw a bathtub of water. Heaven forbid if the electricity goes out and you don't have internet for a day.
It’s ridiculous... my wife thinks a CAT 5 is coming... she told me to go buy just about everything but a boat... unrealQuote:
Originally Posted by HelmutVII
It’s insane to see people buying carts and carts of food..all perishable. What are you gonna do with a month supply of bread and milk? Cargo carts with 40 cases of waster, you would swear the end of the world is near.Quote:
Originally Posted by HelmutVII
This was a month ago.Quote:
Originally Posted by HelmutVII
Would opening the Morganza Spillway then, and ongoing, have helped the current situation?
Our media is more interested in selling fear than reality.Quote:
Originally Posted by crazycajun
For example, I was out near Denham Springs yesterday. Heard NOLA had a big rain storm (not a drop there). So driving back, I put on 96.5 crossing the basin and Brandon was carrying on about Hurricane Barry yada, yada, yada. So I'm thinking an Audrey scenario...the thing just blew up fast. Nope, got home, hurricane site as of 5 PM said there was three distinct low pressure centers at the time. Fake news by constantly speaking of a low system with no closed circulation by referring to it as a named storm.
And Rob on channel 3...yes, his house flooded, as many of us, including ours. Kind of puts people on edge. But he finds the worst case scenario and throws it out there. Respect the situation, don't cause panic. He was backing down tonight, but the panic act was done, and he got people watching.
And last...the evening 5:30 national news now features weather almost every night...fear sells. Everyone at some point is a potential victim.
Just be smart and safe out there. If even needed.
No. it would have raised water levels in the basin. This storm would have raised them even more.Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbine
either from storm surge or rainfall. If this storm goes over north and west Louisiana and dumps a lot of rain there then the Red river will discharge to the Atchafalaya and cause the water levels to rise even higher than now. There is not much gravity drainage to the Mississippi River from Louisiana. There are some areas that pump to the river. Hurricane/ tropical storm flooding in Louisiana is from storm surge on the coast or heavy rains in other areas away from the coast. There could be some issues on the Mississippi downstream of New Orleans along the Mississippi due to storm surge.
Bottom line, since for the most part, Louisiana does not gravity drain to the Mississippi River the level of the water in the Mississippi is irrelevant to flooding in Louisiana UNLESS the levees fail. If that happens it's a different story.
We stayed for Andrew even after seeing what it did to Florida. I don’t remember this much fear mongering for a cat 5 that was having minute long sustained winds of 165mph. Stocked up on beer and charcoal and whole neighborhood brought meat as it would defrost to cook. Everybody helped everybody clean up. People are freaking out over max winds of 70mph. A platform today recorded 52mph winds....wowQuote:
Originally Posted by ZoomZoom
All of our shops are closed in Broussard. They sent employees home Yesterday...at Noon! This is the shop where all of our tools in North America come out of.
A mass email was sent out to all areas our Broussard shops support that stated employees were sent home To ensure they are safe from the approaching Hurricane.
This is a great (and necessary) idea for a serious hurricane...just not understanding the need to shut down the whole operation for this size storm. I guess I’ll just let my clients up here know that they should shut down their rig because broussard may be getting some rain and 52 mph winds.
Maybe sent them home to give them time to prep their homes from serious flooding?Quote:
Originally Posted by axg8750
We stayed for Andrew too (in the Berry). The whole damn house was moving and you could see the walls move, then the shingles went bye bye and water poured into the house. Then we didn't have electricity for 4 or 5 days and had to dodge curfew to go get ice in Lafayette. I'll never stay for another one of those.Quote:
Originally Posted by crazycajun
This ain't that.
New Iberia through St Mary Parish took the brunt of that storm in Louisiana.Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieK
At one point during Andrew I was trying to look out one of the windows and actually felt the window bow. Decided then it was time to go find a safer location. And the house was certainly rocking.Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieK
I’m from the berry too, we would take people in vans to go get ice. Remember it very well and agreed, won’t ever stay through one like that again and this isn’t it. The media crying wolf for every single storm is what puts people in danger bc when they really should leave they don’t.Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieK