Games of Interest 5/11/23

The mathematics of softball evaluation gets pretty exciting at this time of year. lol

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Originally Posted by RaginDave

I completely agree with you, what I meant by that is that beating ULM and beating GSU is not going to matter at the end of the day whether we get to host a regional or not, but for optics and everything else, ULM is much better than GSU.

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There is quite a bit of difference in RPI effect between playing ULM and playing GaSt. ULM has a significantly better record and played a significantly tougher schedule. If you see Brian's post, our RPI margins are razor thin to get up to 6 or down as far as to 13 from 9, the llittle bit of difference between playing ULM and playing GaSt could make a difference.

if we are able to crawl up to 6, i know RPI isnt everything, but no way we dont host, correct?

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Originally Posted by GeauxCajuns

if we are able to crawl up to 6, i know RPI isnt everything, but no way we dont host, correct?

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IMO, the only way we don't host is if we lose today. Even then, there's a chance, though not a very big one. Getting up to 6 and having several other things fall our way [most of which are not likely to happen] might actually put us in position to be a 7 or 8 seed, meaning we not only host a regional, but if we win the Regional we would host a Super.

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Originally Posted by VObserver

IMO, the only way we don't host is if we lose today. Even then, there's a chance, though not a very big one. Getting up to 6 and having several other things fall our way [most of which are not likely to happen] might actually put us in position to be a 7 or 8 seed, meaning we not only host a regional, but if we win the Regional we would host a Super.

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We are not a Top 8 national seed under these conditions (RPI ranking of 6). The resume is significantly deficient under that lens. Nor should we … did not earn it.

Brian

Keep moving up and avoid the 16. Getting greedy, I know.

We basically beat ucla once. At least had them on the ropes for 6 and a bit. There’s hope there if we were 15. Would it be tough. Totally. But not as tough as being paired with OU should we host and win the regional.

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Originally Posted by GoneGolfin

We are not a Top 8 national seed under these conditions (RPI ranking of 6). The resume is significantly deficient under that lens. Nor should we … did not earn it.

Brian

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I know, but I am a fan[atic]... I can't help being overly optimistic.

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Originally Posted by VObserver

I know, but I am a fan[atic]... I can't help being overly optimistic.

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:-)

Brian

Iowa State is putting the screws to Baylor.

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Originally Posted by GoneGolfin

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Baylor is a tough one. But I suspect the Cajuns are better off if Baylor moves into the RPI Top 16 and displaces someone else (Ex. Clemson), since I think the Cajuns have a much better chance of evaluating ahead of some of the other teams (Clemson) than Baylor.

We definitely want Florida to finish well. We cannot have them falling out of the RPI Top 25 (most important thing) … and we want the RPI boost. Florida is not safe in this regard.

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Florida looking good. Baylor … not so much.

Brian

Florida does their part.. Beat Kentucky 6-2

Stephen F. Austin getting hammered. 9-1 in the 4th. Looking like 2 losses on OR for us.

Liberty won today... bad for Ole Miss and Indiana.

Central Arkansas down 2-0 top 7. They are home, so have one more shot. Good for Ole Miss and Indiana if they lose

Minnesota beats Ohio State 3-2. Not good for Ole Miss and Indiana